PIRX Guides
Race prediction, pacing & training guides
Evidence-led guides that turn one race result into a plan — and a projected time you can trust.
Showing 101 of 101 guides
PredictWhat Marathon Can I Run Off My Half Marathon Time?
Find the marathon time you can run from your half marathon. Learn why a marathon is more than double your half, and how to set a smart goal.
Updated May 20264 min read
Predict5K to 10K Time Conversion: What 10K Can You Run?
Convert your 5K time to a realistic 10K. See how much slower 10K pace is than 5K pace, what it takes to hold it, and predict your 10K free — no watch, no signup.
Updated May 20264 min read
Predict10K to Half Marathon: What Half Can You Run?
Predict your half marathon from a recent 10K. See half pace vs 10K, long runs needed, and project your half free. No watch, no signup.
Updated May 20264 min read
PredictRace Equivalency Explained: Your Times at Every Distance
Race equivalency times from a 20:00 5K to a 3:11 marathon. See the ladder, why one race maps to all distances, and where math breaks. Free, no signup.
Updated May 20264 min read
PredictIs My Goal Time Realistic? An Honest Test
Is your marathon goal realistic? Compare your goal to projected time, see a fair jump for one block, and spot fantasy goals. Free, no signup.
Updated May 20264 min read
TrainTraining Paces Explained: The 5 Speeds Every Runner Needs
Training paces explained: easy, marathon, threshold, interval, and speed from one recent race, and what each builds. Free, no signup, no watch.
Updated May 20264 min read
TrainWhat Pace Should My Long Run Be? (By Goal Marathon)
Find long run pace by goal marathon time. Easy pace for most miles, marathon-pace segments later, and why most runners go too fast. Free, no signup.
Updated May 20264 min read
TrainMarathon Pace Chart: Splits for Every Finish Time
Marathon pace chart with per-km and per-mile splits from 2:45 to 5:00. Use it on race day and learn why even splits win. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated May 20263 min read
TrainHow Many Weeks to Train for a Marathon?
How many weeks to train for a marathon? Timelines for beginner, intermediate, and advanced runners plus safe mileage rules. Free, no signup.
Updated May 20264 min read
Race dayHow to Pace a Marathon: Even, Negative, and the First-10K Trap
How to pace a marathon without fading: even vs negative splits, the first-10K trap, and how to lock target pace. Free finish predictor, no signup.
Updated May 20264 min read
Race dayWhy You Faded in the Last 10K (and How to Fix It)
Slowed down in the last 10K of your marathon? Four common causes: too fast start, underfueling, low volume, poor durability. Fix yours free, no signup.
Updated May 20264 min read
Race dayStrava vs Garmin vs PIRX: Which Race Prediction Should You Trust?
Strava vs Garmin vs PIRX for race prediction: what each reads, where each drifts, and which explains your finish time. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated May 20263 min read
PredictWhy Your Smartwatch Thinks You're Faster (or Slower) Than You Actually Are
Are smartwatch race predictions accurate? Often no. Your watch guesses VO2 max, then misjudges endurance vs speed. See why it errs, plus a free fix, no signup.
Updated May 20268 min read
PredictAre Race Time Calculators Accurate? Why Most Miss
Are race time calculators accurate? Often no. A single fixed formula treats every runner the same and overpredicts the marathon. See the free, no-signup fix.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
Train5 Signs Your Training Plan Isn't Working
Hitting your mileage but not getting faster? Here are 5 signs your training plan isn't working, and the performance driver behind each. Free, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
PredictHow Much Data Does a Race Predictor Need?
How much data does a race predictor need to be accurate? More than one run. See how training history sharpens your projection and Supported Range. Free, no signup.
Updated Jun 202610 min read
PredictIs VO2 Max a Good Predictor of Marathon Time?
Is VO2 max a good predictor of marathon time? Not really. Two runners can share a VO2 max yet run very different marathons. See what matters more, free, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
PredictCase Study: How Data, Not Guesswork, Cut 22 Seconds Off a 5K Pace
Learn how to drop 5k time with data. See how one illustrative runner's PIRX driver scores exposed the exact gaps behind a 22-second 5K gain. Free, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
PredictThe Science of Running Projections: Week One Round-Up
The science of running race prediction shows that generic guesses fail every runner. Recap the week's five key insights and sync your watch to see your real number.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainAerobic Base vs Speed Exposure: Which One Is Holding Back Your 10K?
Aerobic vs anaerobic for 10K: engine size vs top speed, which limiter costs seconds, and how to fix it. Free race predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainFatigue Resistance: How to Stay Strong When the Wall Hits at Mile 20
How to avoid hitting the wall at mile 20: build Aerobic Base and Load Consistency for late-race strength. Free race predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainMetabolic Fitness: How Fueling and Pacing Set Your Projected Finish Time
Metabolic fitness running performance hinges on Running Economy and Threshold Density. See how smart fueling and pacing convert both into your finish time.
Updated Jun 202610 min read
TrainThe 5 Drivers That Set Your Race Day Ceiling
What determines running performance? Five drivers set your race day ceiling, each scored 0 to 100. See where your seconds come from, free and no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainWhy Peak Mileage Alone Will Not Save Your Half Marathon
Does more mileage make you faster at the half marathon? Not always. See the two drivers that predict your finish time better than peak weekly miles. Free, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainHow to Identify Your Running Leak Before Race Day
What is limiting my running performance? In most runners, one of the five performance drivers is the weak link. Find your leak, fix that driver, and run faster.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainStop Guessing What Your Workouts Are Worth: Week Two Summary
How to know if a workout helped: it must shift your Projected Time by at least 2 seconds. This Week 2 recap scores all 5 drivers so no run goes wasted.
Updated Jun 202610 min read
TrainHitting the Same Personal Best Ceiling Every Season? The Math on Why
Wondering why have I stopped getting faster? Your body adapts to the same signal in weeks. Here is the math on breaking a running plateau. Free predictor.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainStop Wasting Mileage on the Wrong Workouts for Your Goal
Right workouts for my race goal depend on your target distance. 5K runners need Speed Exposure. Marathon runners need Aerobic Base. See the full breakdown, free.
Updated Jun 20268 min read
PredictHow to Know What You Are Capable of Before the Race Starts
How to know my race potential before race day. Your Projected Time and Supported Range show exactly what your training supports. Free, no signup needed.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainMid-Block Running Injuries: How Overloading One Driver Blurs Progress
Overtraining injury risk spikes when load grows faster than you adapt. See the early workload signal and how to grow all five drivers safely.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
TrainWhat Your Event Readiness Score Means for Your Next Hard Session
Your readiness score for running tells you which session to pick today. See PIRX's 4 Event Readiness bands and why it never changes your Projected Time.
Updated Jun 202610 min read
TrainWhy Hard Training Does Not Always Show Up on Race Day
Training hard but not racing faster? Buried fatigue hides your fitness. Learn why race output lags behind training and how to fix it. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 20268 min read
TrainThe Ultimate Mid-Block Training Assessment: Week Three Review
Mid training block check in: week three is the window to fix gaps before they cost you on race day. See the signals, the actions, and a free projection. No signup.
Updated Jun 20268 min read
Race dayThe Math of Perfect Pacing: Negative Splits vs Even Splits
Negative splits vs even splits: learn which math wins and how to turn your Projected Time into mile-by-mile split targets. Free marathon predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 20268 min read
Race dayHow Heat, Hills, and Wind Change Your Race Time
Learn how to adjust race time for heat and hills. See how warm weather, headwind, and net climbing slow your pace and set a real target. Free, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
PredictWhy the Same Fitness Predicts Different Race Times Across Distances
Why does your race time across distances shift? Learn how energy systems change per event and how PIRX adjusts your 5 drivers per race. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 202610 min read
Race dayHow to Taper for a Marathon Without Losing Fitness
How to taper for a marathon: cut volume 40-60%, keep intensity, and arrive fresh. Week-by-week plan backed by race data. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
PredictHow to Predict Your Race Time With the Watch You Already Own
predict race time with my watch using Garmin, COROS, or Apple Watch. PIRX reads runs you already own and builds a real projection. Free, no signup.
Updated Jun 20268 min read
Race dayThe Psychology of Knowing Your Number on Race Day
Race day nerves hit hardest at the start line. A Projected Time, Supported Range, and split plan shift fear to confidence. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
Race dayThe Complete Race Day Strategy Checklist
Use this race day strategy checklist to set pace, fuel, environment, taper, and mindset from real data. Five levers, one plan. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 20269 min read
PredictThe Future of Running Analytics: Why Spreadsheets Are Done
Future of running analytics: from formulas and spreadsheets to machine learning race prediction. What changed and what comes next. Free, no signup.
Updated Jun 20268 min read
Race dayHow to Run Your Fastest Race: The Complete PIRX Method
Learn how to run your fastest race in 4 steps: connect, analyze, deconstruct your drivers, execute with a plan. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jun 20268 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-30-Minute 5K
A sub 30 5k is about 5:59 per km. Get the exact pace, splits, and a simple beginner training plan, then check the goal fits your data. Free, no signup.
Updated Jun 20268 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-25-Minute 5K
A sub 25 5k training plan starts at 5:00 per km. Get the exact pace, splits, and the speed and threshold workouts that move you there. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-20-Minute 5K
A sub 20 5k training plan means holding about 4:00 per km for 5 km. Get the exact pace, splits, and the speed work that breaks 20 minutes. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-50-Minute 10K
A sub 50 10k means holding about 5:00 per km for all 6.2 miles. Get the exact pace, checkpoint splits, and weekly mileage to train for it. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-40-Minute 10K
A sub 40 10k training plan means holding about 4:00 per km for 6.2 miles. Get the pace, splits, threshold workouts, and weekly mileage to break 40. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-2-Hour Half Marathon
A sub 2 hour half marathon needs a 5:41 per km pace, a long run past 21 km, and even splits. See the exact pace, plan, and honest check. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 202610 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-1:30 Half Marathon
Sub-90-minute half marathon training: the 4:16/km pace, exact splits, threshold work, and the mileage floor it really needs. Free, no signup, no watch.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-4-Hour Marathon
A sub 4 hour marathon is 5:41 per km, 9:09 per mile. Get the pace, splits, long-run build, and a realistic sub 4 hour marathon training plan. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-3:30 Marathon
A sub 3:30 marathon is 4:58 per km, 8:00 per mile. Get the pace, splits, mileage, and a sub 3:30 marathon training plan built around goal pace. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainHow to Run a Sub-3-Hour Marathon
A sub 3 hour marathon is 4:16 per km, 6:52 per mile. Get the pace, the splits, the weekly mileage, and how to fuel past 30 km. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
PredictBoston Marathon Qualifying Times by Age
Boston Marathon qualifying times by age and gender, plus the real cutoff buffer you need to actually get in. Check your goal against your standard. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 202610 min read
PredictIs the Garmin Race Predictor Accurate?
Is the Garmin race predictor accurate? For a 5K, often close. For a marathon, it leans too fast. See what it uses, where it drifts, and a free fix, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
PredictIs the COROS Race Predictor Accurate?
Is the COROS race predictor accurate? EvoLab splits your fitness four ways but still drifts by distance. See where it misses, plus a free fix, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
PredictCan the Apple Watch Predict Your Race Time?
Apple watch race predictor truth: the watch shows a Cardio Fitness (VO2 max) number, not a finish time. See what it can and cannot tell you. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainHeart Rate Zones for Running, Explained
Heart rate zones running guide: the 5 zones by percent of max heart rate, what each one does, and how to set yours with the talk test. Free, no lab, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainZone 2 Running: The Complete Guide
Zone 2 running training, explained: how slow easy running should feel, why it builds your aerobic base, and how much of your week it should be. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainWhat Should Your Zone 2 Heart Rate Be by Age?
Zone 2 heart rate by age: a clean by-age chart, why the formulas are only a starting point, and how to refine your real Zone 2 with field tests. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainLactate Threshold Training for Runners
Lactate threshold training for runners: what threshold is, why it predicts your race time, how to find your pace, and the workouts that raise it. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainThe Max Heart Rate Myth (220 Minus Age)
Max heart rate running guide: why 220 minus age is wrong for most runners, the real spread by age, and how to find your true max safely. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
Race dayHow Altitude Changes Your Race Time
Altitude running pace adjustment, made simple. See how thin air slows your race, the rough penalty by elevation, and what acclimating can fix. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
Race dayTreadmill vs Outdoor Pace: The Real Conversion
Treadmill pace vs outdoor running: a flat belt is a little easier, and a 1 percent incline matches the open road. See the clean conversion table. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
Race dayDoes Cold Weather Slow Your Running Pace?
Running in cold weather pace, explained: the temperature sweet spot for racing, what cold really costs you in seconds, and how to dress for it. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
Race dayTrail vs Road: Why Your Pace Doesn't Transfer
Trail running pace vs road: why off-road pace runs slower, how surface and climbing add time, and why you should pace trails by effort. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
Race dayDew Point: The Hidden Number That Wrecks Your Pace
Dew point running pace, explained: why dew point beats temperature, the danger thresholds, and how to adjust your pace on a humid day. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 202610 min read
PredictAge-Grading Explained: Compare Your Time at Any Age
Age graded running calculator basics: what an age-graded percentage means, how to read your score, and the bands from local to world class. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
PredictWhat's a Good 5K Time by Age?
A good 5K time by age and gender, with real race data for average and good times across every decade. See where you stand and find your own ceiling. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
PredictWhat's a Good 10K Time by Age?
Good 10K time by age and gender with real benchmarks for average and good finishes every decade. See where you stand. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
PredictWhat's a Good Half Marathon Time by Age?
A good half marathon time by age and gender, with real benchmark data for average and good finishes across every decade. Find your own ceiling. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
PredictWhat's a Good Marathon Time by Age?
Good marathon time by age and gender with real data for average and good finishes every decade. See where you stand. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 202610 min read
PredictAverage Marathon Time by Age and Gender
The real average marathon time by age and gender, with median and percentile finish times from 34 million results. See where you sit in the pack. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainNewHow Long Does It Take to Train for a 5K?
How long to train for a 5K? Timelines for new, returning, and experienced runners and what sets the clock. Free race predictor, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainNewHow Long Does It Take to Train for a 10K?
How long to train for a 10k depends on your base. See realistic timelines for runners who can run a 5k, are returning, or train often. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainNewHow Long Does It Take to Train for a Half Marathon?
How long to train for a half marathon depends on your long run. See realistic timelines by base and the minimum safe runway to reach 13.1 miles. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainNewHow Many Days a Week Should You Run?
How many days a week should I run? Most runners need 3 to 5, scaled to goal and experience. See the chart and why steady weeks win. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainNewBase Building: The Phase Most Runners Skip
Base building in running: what the phase builds, how long it lasts by goal distance, and why skipping it caps speed work. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainNewYour First 50K: Bridging the Gap From Marathon to Ultra
First 50K ultramarathon training for marathon runners: volume, long runs, fueling, and pace changes to bridge the gap safely. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainNewHow Many Miles a Week Should You Run?
How many miles per week should I run? Most runners need 20 to 50, scaled to goal distance. See the chart and the safe way to add them. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 202610 min read
TrainNewReturn to Running After Injury: A Safe, Staged Comeback
A return to running after injury plan: a staged walk-to-run schedule, green-light readiness criteria, and the mistakes that cause re-injury. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 202610 min read
TrainNewDeload Weeks: Why Cutting Back Makes You Faster
Deload week running explained: cut volume 20 to 40 percent every 3 to 4 weeks so adaptation catches up. See the chart and why it works. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 202610 min read
TrainNewRunner's Knee: Causes, Fixes, and How to Prevent It
Runner's knee is the most common running injury. Learn what causes patellofemoral pain, the fixes that work, and how to prevent it. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
TrainNewIT Band Syndrome: Why It Flares and How to Come Back
IT band syndrome in runners causes sharp pain on the outside of the knee. Learn why it flares, the fixes that work, and how to return. Free, no signup.
Updated Jul 20269 min read
Race dayNewHow Many Gels for a Marathon? Carbs-Per-Hour Guide
How many gels for a marathon do you need? Use the carbs-per-hour research and your finish time to build a real gel plan. Free race predictor, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
Race dayNewCarb Loading Before a Marathon: The Simple Math
Carb loading before a marathon made simple. Learn the grams-per-kg target, the best 1 to 3 day window, and what to eat. Free race predictor, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
Race dayNewWhat to Eat Before a Race: The Morning Plan
What to eat before a race, hour by hour. Get the carb target, the timing, and the foods to skip so your stomach cooperates. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
Race dayNewMarathon Hydration Strategy: How Much to Drink
Marathon hydration strategy made simple. Learn how much to drink, when to use sodium, and how to avoid both dehydration and overdrinking. Free predictor.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
Race dayNewHalf Marathon Fueling: Do You Even Need Gels?
Half marathon fueling made simple. Find out if you need gels, how many to carry, and how your finish time changes the answer. Free predictor, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainNewRunning Cadence 180: Is the Magic Number Real?
Running cadence 180 steps per minute gets called ideal, but real data shows a wide range. See where the number came from and how to raise yours free.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainNewHow to Improve Running Economy (Proven Methods)
How to improve running economy with the training methods backed by real studies. See what running economy is, why it beats VO2 max, and what works. Free.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainNewStrength Training for Runners: What Actually Works
Strength training for runners made simple. See the key lifts, how often to train, and the real studies on injury and speed. Free race predictor, no signup.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainNewRunning Form Drills That Actually Help (Backed by Research)
Running form drills worth your time, backed by real studies, not just tradition. See what each one fixes and how to add them free, no signup needed.
Updated Jul 20268 min read
TrainNewCross Training for Runners: What Actually Transfers
Cross training for runners, ranked by what really transfers to your running. See cycling, swimming, and pool running compared. Free, no signup needed.
Updated Aug 20268 min read
TrainNewCouch to 5K Training Plan: Your 8-Week Walk-to-Run Guide
A couch to 5k training plan you can actually finish: the 8-week walk-to-run schedule, why week 3 feels hardest, and how to keep going. Free, no signup.
Updated Aug 20268 min read
Race dayNewFirst Marathon Mistakes That Cost Runners the Most
The most common first marathon mistakes: going out too fast, no fuel plan, peaking too early, and new gear on race day. Free finish predictor, no signup.
Updated Aug 20268 min read
TrainNewBeginner Half Marathon Training Plan: A 12-Week Build
A beginner half marathon training plan: the base you need first, a realistic 12-week build, and a fair first goal. Free half marathon predictor, no signup.
Updated Aug 20268 min read
TrainNewHow to Start Running: A Gentle Guide for True Beginners
How to start running from zero: the gentle walk-to-run on-ramp, what week 1 feels like, and how often beginners train. Free 5K predictor, no signup needed.
Updated Aug 20268 min read
Race dayNewHow to Pace a 5K: Even Effort vs. the Fast-Start Trap
Learn how to pace a 5K with near-even effort, a small controlled fast start, and km-by-km targets. Free 5K time predictor, no signup, no watch needed.
Updated Aug 20268 min read
Race dayNewHow to Pace a 10K: Controlled Discomfort in Thirds
Learn how to pace a 10k by splitting the race into thirds, avoiding the mid-race sag, and holding controlled discomfort. Free 10K time predictor, no signup.
Updated Aug 20268 min read
Race dayNewHow to Pace a Half Marathon: Even to Slight Negative
Learn how to pace a half marathon with even or slightly negative splits and strict first-5K discipline. Free half marathon time predictor, no signup needed.
Updated Aug 20268 min read
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